Pros
The advent and improvement of big data analytics, artificial
intelligence, and machine learning technology over the last
half-century has vehicularized the use of automated technologies in
business context. Companies are moving
en masse to adopt automated technologies as they seek to sharpen
their competitive edge, with 57% of organizations polled in a 2018
McKinsey survey stating that their organizations are already
in the process of at least piloting automated technologies in one or
more business units or activities. This strategy is predicted to
increase entrepreneurial spending in automated technologies from $12.4
billion USD in 2018 to $232 billion USD in 2024.
This entrepreneurial movement towards automated technologies will
have an impact on human labor forces. While the scale of this impact
varies among experts, the most conservative estimates predict a 9%
drop in employment which
numerically equates to between 400 million and 800 million people.
In the wake of this advancement, it is becoming more clear there is
simply no need for everyone to work in order to survive. Humanity as
a species has conceived ways to provide sustenance cheaply and
abundantly. The majority of the work conducted today is, as American
Anthropologist David Graeber states, bullshit:
menial at best, and propagating corruption, wealth inequality, or
climate change at worst.
Therefore, workers who are replaced by automated technologies may be
free cover their basic needs and pursue important personal
endeavours, perhaps cognitive, familial, social, artistic, or
developmental in nature. The risk of the public not accepting UBI
schemes is further stigmatizing unemployment, increasing the divide
between the haves and have-nots, and oppressing humanity to only
value work rather than liberating them to explore and foster the
very things that make them human.
Cons
Work provides incentives that, arguably, ultimately benefit the greater
society. And without work, not everyone is intrinsically motivated to engage
in ways that society sees as valuable. Thus begs the question, why should a
system exist
which finances people to potentially do nothing all day?
Not only is there the question of how UBI relates to social value, there is
also the question of how UBI relates to personal time fulfillment: with work
accounting for nearly a third of the time spent per day five days per week,
it may be of little surprise that 64%
of people surveyed
worry about how they would occupy themselves in the absence of a
job. This may be because jobs, besides income, bring daily
structure, regular social interactions, motivation to perform and improve,
and even a sense of identity to the worker. There is no singular replacement
for all these things that a good job offers.
Moreover, unemployment presents a real mental health challenge, as
demonstrated by the fact that 18%
of unemployed American adults have been treated
for depression after being unemployed for 27 weeks or longer. It is
perhaps because of this that 2017
survey participants favor a national service program that would
compensate humans to perform
jobs even if machines could outperform them (58%), almost as equally as they
favor having a guaranteed income (60%).
Also important to note is that many experts predict that automated
technologies will not replace entire occupations, but rather the rote and
dangerous tasks. This in effect raises human labor capital, in that
these workers can elevate to higher-level tasks such as leadership,
emotional-social awareness, and creative
thinking. Moreover, historically, automation has created new jobs, with
experts predicting that roughly 7%
of jobs in 2030 will be jobs that do not exist today.